Past events

24
Jan
2019
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Climatic disruptions and output gaps: should central banks incorporate climate effects into policy?

Augustus Panton, PhD student, CAMA

This seminar presents a multivariate filtering model estimated by the data-driven Maximum Likelihood technique in the state-space context to derive climate-neutral measures of potential output and output gaps.

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23
Jan
2019
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Impact of demographic change on macroeconomic and environmental outcomes

Tsendsuren Batsuuri, PhD student at CAMA and CEPAR

The world is experiencing unprecedented demographic changes, raising an important question about the effects on global carbon emissions. In this seminar, Tsendsuren Batsuuri presents an overview of her PhD dissertation proposal which will comprise of four papers around these issues.

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20
Dec
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Low volatility as a predictor of stock market crisis

Lin Qi

In this seminar, Lin Qi will present an overview of his thesis on Low volatility as a predictor of stock market crisis.

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27
Nov
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

IMF World Economic Outlook October 2018

Malhar Nabar, International Monetary Fund

This presentation will discuss issues facing the global economy 10 years after the 2008 financial crisis, based on the recently launched edition of the IMF’s flagship publication, World Economic Outlook, October 2018.

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22
Nov
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Improved methods for combining point forecasts for an asymmetrically distributed variable

Professor Shaun Vahey, University of Warwick

Many studies have found that forecast combination improves forecast accuracy. An often-used approach developed by Granger and Ramanathan (GR, 1984) utilises a linear-Gaussian regression model to combine point forecasts. This presentation generalises their approach for an asymmetrically distributed target variable.

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Image by Tax Credits on Flickr
09
Oct
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Public Lecture

Ten years after the financial crisis: What have we learned from the Renaissance in fiscal research?

Valerie Ramey, University of California- San Diego

In this seminar, Valerie Ramey will present an overview of her paper “Ten years after the financial crisis: What have we learned from the Renaissance in fiscal research?” This paper takes stock of what she has learned from the ‘Renaissance’ in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis.

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27
Sep
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Innovation, corruption and growth: a case study of Vietnamese SMEs

Hang Hoang, PhD student, CAMA

In this seminar, Hang Hoang presents the results of her investigation on how firms transform innovation knowledge into firm growth.

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23
Aug
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

A decreasing elasticity of substitution between clean and dirty energy and the potential implications for policy

Tony Wiskich, PhD Student, CAMA

Using a stylised structural model of electricity generation, Tony derives a (bimodal) production function for clean and dirty technologies with two elasticities: a high elasticity for low clean penetration and a low elasticity for high clean penetration.

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21
Aug
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | East Asian Bureau of Economic Research | Asian Development Bank | Roundtable

Technology for aging Asia

Cyn-Young Park, Bambang Susantono

This event explores the implication of aging on labour force participation, productivity, and growth while examining the role and potential of technology to harness the gain from longevity dividend, in order to draw actionable policy recommendations and priorities.

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09
Aug
2018
Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis | Seminar

Liability-side financial frictions in an estimated asymmetric country model

Xuan-Lam Nguyen, PhD Student, Crawford School

In this seminar, Xuan-Lam develops a business cycle model of two asymmetric countries in which independent banking sectors are subject to moral hazards due to their ability to divert assets.

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