Probabilistic interest rate setting with a shadow board: A description of the pilot project
This study aims to assess the scope for monetary policymakers to aggregate probabilistic interest rate advice. The members of a Shadow Board give probabilistic assessments of the appropriate (target) interest rate for Australia in real time. The pilot project will be running each month from August to December (inclusive) 2011, with the Shadow Board giving advice shortly before each decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board.
Updated: 28 March 2023/Responsible Officer: Crawford Engagement/Page Contact: CAMA admin