High vaccination coverage is required before public health measures can be relaxed and Australia’s international border fully reopen

Crawford School of Public Policy | Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis
Photo by Mufid Majnun on Unsplash

Event details


Date & time

Wednesday 01 September 2021


Online via Zoom


Quentin Grafton, Australian National University


Rossana Bastos Pinto

In this seminar the author will present his model on possible eventual public health outcomes (cases, hospitalisations and fatalities) of Phase D, the Post Vaccination Phase (to live with COVID-19: management consistent with influenza or other infectious diseases) of the National Plan to transition Australia’s National COVID-19 Response. He compares outcomes under alternative adult vaccination rates and with (and without) vaccinating children, having higher vaccination rate for older Australians, and using vaccination boosters. The author finds a large difference in hospitalisations between 70 per cent, 80 per cent and 90 per cent vaccination rates and alternative vaccination strategies.

Quentin Grafton is an Australian Laureate Fellow and Professor of Economics at the Crawford School of Public Policy at the Australian National University. Since February 2020 he has, including with Tom Kompas and other co-authors, modelled and evaluated the public policy outcomes associated with different public health measures.

Updated:  13 August 2022/Responsible Officer:  Crawford Engagement/Page Contact:  CAMA admin